Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 67.7%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado31 mar 26, 14:36 UTC1 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agents are deployed to polling locations, early voting sites, or ballot drop boxes during the 2026 midterm elections in November.
- Deployment includes uniformed or armed ICE personnel stationed at, patrolling, or conducting operations within the immediate vicinity of voting locations with the apparent intent to monitor voters or conduct immigration enforcement.
- This market resolves NO if the 2026 midterm elections occur without ICE deployment to polling locations as defined above.
- Resolution will be determined by reporting from major news outlets and official statements from state election officials and the Department of Homeland Security.
- The Trump administration's deployment of ICE agents to airports has renewed discussion about the possibility of ICE going to the polls in November, with Steve Bannon urging President Trump to treat the airport deployment as a dress rehearsal for the 2026 midterms.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Is ICE going to be deployed in polls this midterms??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 68% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Is ICE going to be deployed in polls this midterms??
- Está previsto que Is ICE going to be deployed in polls this midterms? se resuelva el 1 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Is ICE going to be deployed in polls this midterms??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria