In what year will the next US recession begin?

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Preguntas frecuentes

¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de In what year will the next US recession begin??

Manifold Markets cotiza 2027 al 47% a fecha de 30 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve In what year will the next US recession begin??

Está previsto que In what year will the next US recession begin? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2030.

¿Cómo se liquida In what year will the next US recession begin??

Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market asks when the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) will determine the next US recession began.

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KALSHI

Recession this year?

• No97.5%
• Yes2.5%

Volumen total

3,4 M €

Volumen 24h

33,6 mil €

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.0%98.5%
• Above 3.1%98.5%
• Above 3.2%98.5%

KALSHI

Recession in 2027?

• No80.5%
• Yes-1.0pt19.5%

Volumen total

707 mil €

Volumen 24h

18,2 mil €

KALSHI

US real GDP growth in 2026?

• 2.1% to 2.5%+16.2pt83.1%
• 1.6% to 2.0%-7.0pt11.8%
• 2.6% to 3.0%-6.0pt

POLYMARKET

US recession by end of 2026?

• No-1.5pt93%
• Yes+1.5pt7%

Volumen total

2,1 M €

Volumen 24h

12,1 mil €

KALSHI

CPI YoY in December

• Above 3.0%96.5%
• Above 3.1%-1.0pt94.5%
• Above 3.3%94.5%

• CPI in October
• Core CPI in October
• Core CPI YoY in December
• Core CPI in November
• CPI in December
• Australia Nominal GDP in 2026
• Unemployment in October
• Core CPI YoY in November
• October Unemployment Rate
• US recession by end of 2027?
• 2026: Trump's bad year?
• CPI in November