KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualQ4 2024 1%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
157,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
0.3% / 51.0%
Spread
16900.0%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 26 minutos
19 mar 25, 14:0031 dic 26, 15:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Q4 20241%
Tendencia de volumen
$2222 jul19d de datos23 jul
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
9,3 mil €Above 3.4%: 29%KALSHI
KALSHI
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3,9 mil €0-1%: 56%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Recession this year?
3,2 mil €Sí: 9%KALSHI
KALSHI
2026: Trump's dream year?
1,8 mil €Sí: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?
1,5 mil €Soft Landing: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
395,5 €Sí: 16.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Reglas
If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q4 2024, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification 4/15/25 3:00 AM ET: The determination for this market will be based on which quarter NBER highlights (independent of the month they highlight).
- For example, the most recent recession written as "February 2020 (2019Q4)" would resolve YES for the market called "Q4 2019" (if this was listed).
- If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q1 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q2 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q3 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.