In which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026?
4.8 pts (24h)Health & MedicineIAOne-Off4aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual2027 41.3%+4.8ptLíder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+1.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
1 jun 26, 16:44 UTC1 feb 31, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Resolution criteria
- Each option (2027, 2028, 2029, 2030) in this market is independent and will resolve based on whether the final reported number of confirmed measles cases in the United States for that year exceeds the final reported count for the year 2026.
- YES: If the CDC’s finalized (or consolidated provisional) annual count of confirmed measles cases in the United States for the respective year is strictly greater than the final count for 2026.
- NO: If the count is equal to or less than the final count for 2026.
- Source of Truth: The primary source of truth is the CDC's official Measles Cases and Outbreaks page.
- If the data is archived or the page structure changes, final annual tables from the CDC's National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System (NNDSS) or the Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR) will be used.
Mercados abiertos
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volumen total
- 15,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 18,3 mil €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,2 mil €
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- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volumen total
- 916 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,5 mil €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 863,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de In which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 2027 al 41% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve In which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026??
- Está previsto que In which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026? se resuelva el 1 de febrero de 2031.
- ¿Cómo se liquida In which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria