Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 50.4%
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado29 jul 26, 14:36 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
In which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025?
Manifold MarketsMeasles cases in 2026?
KalshiMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketMeasles cases in U.S. by September 30?
PolymarketWhat will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the total number of confirmed measles cases in the United States reported by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) for the calendar year 2027 is strictly greater than the total number reported for the calendar year 2026.
- If the 2027 count is less than or equal to the 2026 count, the market will resolve to NO.
- The primary source of truth will be the CDC's official Measles Cases and Outbreaks page.
- If this page is unavailable or no longer updated, official numbers published in the CDC's Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR) or the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System (NNDSS) will be used.
- Details and Edge Cases:
Mercados abiertos
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volumen total
- 15,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 18,3 mil €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,2 mil €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volumen total
- 916 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,5 mil €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 863,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1 mil €
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 50% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026??
- Está previsto que Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria