Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 53.8%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado29 jul 26, 14:36 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the total number of confirmed measles cases in the United States reported by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) for the calendar year 2027 is strictly greater than the total number reported for the calendar year 2026.
- If the 2027 count is less than or equal to the 2026 count, the market will resolve to NO.
- The primary source of truth will be the CDC's official Measles Cases and Outbreaks page.
- If this page is unavailable or no longer updated, official numbers published in the CDC's Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR) or the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System (NNDSS) will be used.
- Details and Edge Cases: