If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?

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No 53.5%

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Actualizado hace 18 horas

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7 sept 26, 2:34 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC

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AfD candidate Siegmund claims (with dubious grammar) that that is what would happen: https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-09/06/afd-spitzenkandidat-siegmund-im-notfall-neuwahlen

Resolves YES if they win an absolute majority of seats in parliament, i. e. not necessarily 50% of votes.
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If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?

One-OffEurope Política Elección1a

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 53.5%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 18 horas

Desactualizado

7 sept 26, 2:34 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Mercados Relacionados

Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.

If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority?

Manifold Markets

Next minister president of Saxony-Anhalt?

Manifold Markets

Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?

Kalshi

Will the next minister-president of Saxony-Anhalt be from AfD?

Manifold Markets

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

Polymarket

Saxony-Anhalt state election: Greens vote percent

Kalshi

Reglas

AfD candidate Siegmund claims (with dubious grammar) that that is what would happen: https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-09/06/afd-spitzenkandidat-siegmund-im-notfall-neuwahlen

Resolves YES if they win an absolute majority of seats in parliament, i. e. not necessarily 50% of votes.
[link preview]

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Preguntas frecuentes

¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election??: Manifold Markets cotiza No al 54% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
¿Cuándo se resuelve If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election??: Está previsto que If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
¿Cómo se liquida If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election??: Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: AfD candidate Siegmund claims (with dubious grammar) that that is what would happen: https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-09/06/afd-spitzenkandidat-siegmund-im-notfall-neuwahlen

If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?

If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?

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