Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 85.4%
Pronosticadores
23
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado27 sept 26, 3:32 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolves yes if there is one public execution held with a guillotine by 2030 with video evidence.
- Update 2026-09-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The execution must meet the following criteria:
- Can occur anywhere in the world.
- Must be a judicial action.
- Must be held in public and ceremonially by a domestic actor for a domestic audience.
- Snuff films and ISIS-style videos do not count.
