Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 70.4%
Pronosticadores
33
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado19 may 24, 21:32 UTC1 ene 29, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Lucy Letby be exonerated?
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PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve YES if Letby intentionally murdered any infants and NO if not.
- The market will stay open until a media consensus is reached, and be conservative about resolution.
- It may be a long time before it resolves.
- Resolution is delegated to Manifold (the mods if there's no newer system) in the event if it is disputed or not obvious.
Mercados abiertos
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- 2027-5.5pt16%
- 2026+0.2pt5%
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POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+5.5pt70.3%
- Yes-5.5pt29.7%
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- 353,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6 mil €
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- October 31+1.0pt14%
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+3 resultados más
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- 60++2.5pt39.2%
- 20–40+2.8pt10.8%
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- John Brennan-2.0pt22%
- Mahmoud Khalil17%
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero+2.0pt15%
+21 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,1 M €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Did Lucy Letby murder any infants? (media consensus)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 70% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Did Lucy Letby murder any infants? (media consensus)?
- Está previsto que Did Lucy Letby murder any infants? (media consensus) se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Did Lucy Letby murder any infants? (media consensus)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve YES if Letby intentionally murdered any infants and NO if not.