Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualBefore June 2027 74.4%+1.8ptLíder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
51
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+11.4 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado9 sept 26, 17:40 UTC1 jul 27, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
Minor changes to the name, such as 'Claude Opus 6' or 'Claude Fable 6', or other names for a model generally expected to be called Claude 6, will count for the purpose of this market.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
- @QL5hAdgQld (this market)
