Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualBefore 2027-02-16 98%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
70
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+0.7 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
5 sept 26, 16:27 UTC16 feb 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsClaude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?
PolymarketReglas
The '+' means any version at or above 5.2 counts: if Anthropic skips 5.2 and releases Claude Fable 5.3 or Fable 6, that still counts for the purpose of this market.
- Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called Claude Fable 5.2, will also count.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
