KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Before Jan 1, 2029 69.5%Líder entre 4 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
39 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1,8 mil €
Baja liquidezSpread
8.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
26 ago 26, 19:09 UTC1 jul 27, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsNext James Bond movie (#26) [Mega Independent] / Prop bets:
Manifold MarketsReglas
If next James Bond has been publicly released in the USA through official channels before the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:DeadlineEntertainment WeeklyFox NewsThe InformationMSNBCSemaforBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street JournalABCThe Hollywood ReporterReutersAxiosIMDbSpotifyNetflixVarietyCNNThe New York TimesNBCPoliticoThe Washington Postthe Associated PressCBS
- This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.
- The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download.
- The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country.
- Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify.
- Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released.
Mercados abiertos
EntertainmentKALSHIEmmy winner: Outstanding Variety Series
- The Late Show with Stephen Colbert-4.0pt63.9%
- Tie+7.0pt29.6%
- Last Week Tonight with John Oliver-1.0pt2.8%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 295,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 47,9 mil €
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast Gaming video on day 1?
- 15–17.5M+27.5pt54.5%
- 17.5–20M+26.4pt43.6%
- 12.5–15M-14.2pt1%
+4 resultados más
POLYMARKETEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
- “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”-0.5pt76.3%
- “Jimmy Kimmel Live!”+2.2pt7.2%
- “The Daily Show”+2.2pt6.2%
+2 resultados más
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey54%
- Dune: Part Three12%
- The Black Ball11%
+37 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 4,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 44,3 mil €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 35+34.0pt99%
- Above 30+1.0pt99%
- Above 2599%
+14 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 219,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- No Bond chosen+14.6pt36%
- Jack Lowden-16.6pt20%
- Jack Barton-0.1pt12%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de James Bond · Release Date?
- Kalshi cotiza Before Jan 1, 2029 al 70% a fecha de 13 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve James Bond · Release Date?
- Está previsto que James Bond · Release Date se resuelva el 1 de julio de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida James Bond · Release Date?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If next James Bond has been publicly released in the USA through official channels before the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.