Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
>=2035 50.8%Líder entre 11 opciones
>=2035 50.8%Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado17 feb 24, 19:14 UTC2 ene 35, 5:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
By which year will I be unable to find work in any industry (incl. as management or startup founder)?
- The operationalization of "virtually" is TBD, but refers mostly to the relative value of labor vs. capital.
- If ~99.999% of the world's economic output is generated by machines and I can only find work as a an office adornment for some sentimental tech emperor that would suffice to resolve the market, even if technically I'm making more than I make in 2023, because global GDP has increased a dozen orders of magnitude.
- This market will be resolved in the "spirit of the question" and is about economic conditions, not my personal fate.
- If I die or suffer a catastrophic loss of skills/mental faculties, this market resolves N/A, not affirmatively.
