Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualBefore 2038 80%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+30.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
9 sept 26, 18:12 UTC1 ene 40, 8:00 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
I'm trying to point at jobs that can "in theory" be done by a sufficiently good multi-modal LLM.
- If the job requires only the production of digital artifacts, it counts.
- On the other hand I'm excluding:
- Jobs that require physical interaction with the world
- Jobs that depend on significant interaction with humans external to the organization
- In other words: I'm not asking when robotics will be solved, and I'm not asking when humans will be comfortable interacting with an AI.
Mercados abiertos
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- 2026+59.0pt82%
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
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POLYMARKETOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+53.0pt93%
- 2026+53.5pt73%
- September 30, 2026+51.5pt57%
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.25%-7.0pt88%
- Above 2.45%79%
- Above 2.6%+16.0pt56%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 60,8 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture50.5%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer27.1%
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+3 resultados más
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- 32,3 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de By what year will almost all "LLM-domain" jobs be automatable??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Before 2038 al 80% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve By what year will almost all "LLM-domain" jobs be automatable??
- Está previsto que By what year will almost all "LLM-domain" jobs be automatable? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2040.
- ¿Cómo se liquida By what year will almost all "LLM-domain" jobs be automatable??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: I'm trying to point at jobs that can "in theory" be done by a sufficiently good multi-modal LLM.