Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
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binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado4 may 23, 0:55 UTC31 dic 26, 7:59 UTC
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As mentioned in this ACX article, there's this study that shows that pretty much every woman exhibits genital arousal towards women.
- There's NO WAY this is true it's UNFAIR if it is I should've been asking girls out WAYYYY more like wtf have I been doing all this time
- Resolves YES if this paper replicates, NO if it gets retracted/debunked, N/A if that's not what this paper says
Mercados abiertos
Science
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+19.9pt95%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029+7.3pt55%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
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- Volumen 24h
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POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 resultados más
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+1.0pt21%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 28,6 M €
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2030+71.0pt92%
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 108,3 mil €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,2 mil €
POLYMARKETMin Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- 4.4-4.6m+18.6pt65.7%
- 4.2-4.4m-20.9pt26.5%
- 4.6-4.8m+0.8pt2.9%
+4 resultados más
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
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- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
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- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Are almost all women into women? (will it replicate?)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 71% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Are almost all women into women? (will it replicate?)?
- Está previsto que Are almost all women into women? (will it replicate?) se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Are almost all women into women? (will it replicate?)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: As mentioned in this ACX article, there's this study that shows that pretty much every woman exhibits genital arousal towards women.