Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualOther 45.7%Líder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores
38
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado20 may 26, 15:47 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
2026 Ebola epidemic case count?
Manifold MarketsWhich states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
PolymarketEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWhich countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
KalshiEbola pandemic in 2026?
KalshiReglas
Resolves based on the consensus/best estimate of (suspected) deaths from the current Bundibugyo virus outbreak at the end of the epidemic, probably using numbers released by the WHO or on the Wikipedia page, unless there's good reason to believe that they have stopped updating these numbers reliably (this is probably unlikely).
- https://www.who.int/emergencies/disease-outbreak-news
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Ituri_Province_Ebola_epidemic
- If the epidemic expands into a pandemic or continues into 2027, the market will be extended as necessary.
- The "Other" category means any deaths total larger than the current buckets.
- I may add more higher buckets from the "Other" category as necessary (if you're new to Manifold, don't worry, if you bet on Other, your shares will automatically be transferred onto any new buckets split off, this is fine and normal).
Mercados abiertos
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Volumen total
- 15,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 18 mil €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volumen total
- 920,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 4 mil €
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11.5%53%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,6 mil €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt98%
- Above 6000+2.0pt61%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 868,1 mil €
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Volumen total
- 612,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,2 mil €
- When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
- Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
- What will RFK say during RNC Midterm Convention?
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de 2026 Ebola epidemic deaths??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Other al 46% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve 2026 Ebola epidemic deaths??
- Está previsto que 2026 Ebola epidemic deaths? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida 2026 Ebola epidemic deaths??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves based on the consensus/best estimate of (suspected) deaths from the current Bundibugyo virus outbreak at the end of the epidemic, probably using numbers released by the WHO or on the Wikipedia page, unless there's good reason to believe that they have stopped updating these numbers reliably (this is probably unlikely).