KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Above 5.5% 52%Líder entre 15 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
133,3 €
Liquidez
133,3 €
Baja liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
7 sept 26, 17:00 UTC7 ene 33, 13:29 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
US unemployment rate at year-end 2026
KalshiUS unemployment rate at year-end 2027
KalshiUS unemployment rate at year-end 2028
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.4% in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.3% in June 2027?
ForecastExUS unemployment rate at year-end 2029
KalshiReglas
If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2032 is above
Liquida mediante:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- “Year-end” refers exclusively to the December reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released.
- It does not refer to the annual average, the fourth-quarter average, the highest unemployment rate reported during the year, or the latest unemployment rate available as of December 31.
- The Expiration Value is the first non-preliminary seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for December 2032.
- Values will be compared as published without rounding.
Mercados abiertos
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 90,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,5 M €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 358,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 35,8 mil €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 548,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 29,8 mil €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-2.0pt58%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,7 mil €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 17,7 mil €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
- Volumen total
- 310,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,5 mil €
- Recession this year?
- CPI in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de US unemployment rate at year-end 2032?
- Kalshi cotiza Above 5.5% al 52% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve US unemployment rate at year-end 2032?
- Está previsto que US unemployment rate at year-end 2032 se resuelva el 7 de enero de 2033.
- ¿Cómo se liquida US unemployment rate at year-end 2032?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2032 is above