KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actualBefore 2027 13%Líder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
28 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
1,7 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
13.0% / 15.0%
Spread
15.4%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
12 ene 26, 15:001 ene 27, 15:00
Tendencias
Resultado elegido
Before 202713%
También disponible en Polymarket
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
1.4%6m
-0.5%22%
-1.4%4%
44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez media
Volumen total14,3 mil €
Volumen 24h37,8 €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the President of the United States has tried to fire Jerome Powell as Chair or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before May 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A "try to fire" includes any of the following:
- The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; The White House officially announces termination; Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; Expressions of dissatisfaction; Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; Unsent letters ordering termination
- This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?
3,7 mil €Rate / Cut: 94%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will Kevin Warsh say during his June press conference?
48,3 €Trump: 17%KALSHI
KALSHI
How many government employees will Trump cut?
0,2 €More than 100,000: 42%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
0 €Sí: 6%KALSHI
KALSHI
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
0 €Kevin Warsh: 88%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto News
Wall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto News
Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto News
Trump adviser Patrick Witt backs sweeping crypto tax billsCrypto News
U.S. judge blocks Trump’s $100,000 H-1B visa fee after state challengeCrypto News
Trump walks out of interview after clash over election fraud claims Crypto NewsReglas
If the President of the United States has tried to fire Jerome Powell as Chair or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before May 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A "try to fire" includes any of the following:
- The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; The White House officially announces termination; Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; Expressions of dissatisfaction; Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; Unsent letters ordering termination
- This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.