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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Fed
  3. Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

1.6% (24h)FedOne-OffUS Politics6m
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
December 31
December 31 21%-2.5%
Calidad del mercado

44 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

37,8 €

Liquidez

12,5 mil €

Liquidez media
Compra / Venta

2.2% / 5.9%

Spread

168.2%

Spread amplio
Cambio 7d

-0.7%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 7 minutos

16 abr 26, 17:0331 dic 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

December 3121%

KalshiTambién disponible en Kalshi

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

6m
Before 2027
Before 2027
13%
Before May 15, 2026
Before May 15, 2026
1%
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
1%
28 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total3,3 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
KalshiKALSHI

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
  • If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
  • Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
  • The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.

Activos Sensibles al Macro

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Mercados Relacionados

What will Kevin Warsh say during his June press conference?

What will Kevin Warsh say during his June press conference?

49,2 €
Trump: 17%KalshiKALSHI
How many government employees will Trump cut?

How many government employees will Trump cut?

0,1 €
More than 100,000: 42%KalshiKALSHI
What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

2,9 mil €
Rate / Cut: 94%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

165,3 mil €
0 (0: 79%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

88,2 mil €
Sí: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Activos en estos temas

DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.63%BNBBNB$594.96+1.59%XRPXRP$1.12+0.15%CardanoADA$0.1657+2.77%HyperliquidHYPE$54.90-0.82%LitecoinLTC$42.67+0.56%

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Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
  • If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
  • Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
  • The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.