KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.
Esperando resolución verificada
CoinRithm espera una liquidación confirmada por el proveedor antes de tratar este mercado como resuelto.
Probabilidad implícita actual
Before Jan 1, 2028 15%Líder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
34 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
17,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
22 jul 26, 15:26 UTC1 sept 26, 13:27 UTC
Tendencias
15%
12%
2%
1%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
KalshiWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
KalshiKevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
KalshiWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by which date?
PolymarketWarsh out as Fed Chair by which date?
PolymarketTrump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A "try to fire" includes any of the following:
- The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; The White House officially announces termination; Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; Expressions of dissatisfaction; Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; Unsent letters ordering termination
- This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.
Mercados abiertos
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.5%
- No change43.6%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 74,3 mil €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 resultados más
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed maintains rate46.8%
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt45.8%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt3.2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 40,8 mil €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate43.3%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Volumen total
- 61,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 21,5 mil €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase67.3%
- No change30.7%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh??
- Kalshi cotiza Before Jan 1, 2028 al 15% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh??
- Está previsto que Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh? se resuelva el 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.