KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Before Jan 1, 2031 75%-7.0ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
48 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
322,7 €
Liquidez
4,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
23 jul 26, 17:00 UTC1 ene 31, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
KalshiWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
KalshiWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
KalshiDouble digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
Manifold MarketsKevin Hassett becomes Fed chair in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWarsh out as Fed Chair by which date?
PolymarketReglas
If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kevin Warsh must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Mercados abiertos
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.9%
- No change43.1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 94,3 mil €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.3pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 resultados más
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed maintains rate46.9%
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt46%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt3.3%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 40,8 mil €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt53.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt42.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Volumen total
- 61,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 21,6 mil €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase65.4%
- No change29.8%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair??
- Kalshi cotiza Before Jan 1, 2031 al 75% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair??
- Está previsto que Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2031.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.