KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Exactly 3.85% 36.6%-14.0ptLíder entre 7 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
37 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
183,6 €
Liquidez
1,6 mil €
Baja liquidezSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
18 sept 26, 12:45 UTC21 sept 26, 11:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 18, 2026 is at most 3.82%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- The Underlying is the initially reported SOFR for September 18, 2026 in the table named “Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data” in the column labeled “Rate (%)”.
- Later revisions will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 18, 2026 is exactly 3.83%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 18, 2026 is exactly 3.84%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 18, 2026 is exactly 3.85%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
Bonds & Treasuries
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 459,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 8,6 mil €
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 5.40%-9.5pt83%
- 5.45%-0.5pt74%
- 5.50%-5.0pt56%
+6 resultados más
POLYMARKETHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- Below 5.20%61%
- Below 5.15%+8.0pt56%
- Below 5.10%-2.0pt43%
+6 resultados más
POLYMARKETHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 5.24%-0.5pt19%
- Below 5.21%-1.0pt13%
- Below 5.12%+1.1pt4%
+6 resultados más
KALSHIHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
- 5.3% or above99%
- 5.31% or above99%
- 5.33% or above99%
+22 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 21,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,8 mil €
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- 4.75% or above-1.0pt73%
- 5% or above+6.0pt61%
- 5.1% or above+9.0pt58%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de SOFR for September 18, 2026?
- Kalshi cotiza Exactly 3.85% al 37% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve SOFR for September 18, 2026?
- Está previsto que SOFR for September 18, 2026 se resuelva el 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida SOFR for September 18, 2026?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 18, 2026 is at most 3.82%, then the market resolves to Yes.