KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoLiquidado por el proveedor, mercado por mercado
Resuelto: 30 sept 2026, 21:28
Este evento no tiene un único ganador. El proveedor liquidó cada mercado por separado; cada mercado muestra su propio resultado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 30 sept 2026, 20:51 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
4.74% or below1%
4.69% or below4%
4.78% or below1%
4.76% or below8%
4.68% or below0%
4.65% or below1%
4.77% or below5%
4.75% or below1%
4.79% or below6%
4.76% or belowPerdida
4.79% or belowPerdida
4.77% or belowPerdida
4.7% or belowPerdida
4.66% or belowPerdida
4.69% or belowPerdida
4.72% or belowPerdida
4.65% or belowPerdida
4.78% or belowPerdida
4.75% or belowPerdida
4.74% or belowPerdida
4.73% or belowPerdida
4.71% or belowPerdida
4.67% or belowPerdida
4.68% or belowPerdida
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
Reglas archivadas a nivel de evento. Los términos exactos de cada resultado ya no están disponibles.
If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is below 4.80% on any business day between Sep 9, 2026 and Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- How this is resolved This market covers the period between Sep 9, 2026 and Sep 30, 2026.
- Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.
- The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration.
- Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.
- Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.
