KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualBefore Jan 20, 2029 50%+1.0pt
Calidad del mercado
52 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
515,7 €
Liquidez
6,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
46.0% / 51.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 minutos
18 dic 24, 15:0020 ene 29, 15:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Before Jan 20, 202950%
Tendencia de volumen
$5873 jul21d de datos28 jul
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If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.
- This could include: opening a U.S. embassy with Somaliland, accepting an ambassador from Somaliland, including the entity as an independent country in U.S.
- Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies Somaliland as an independent and sovereign state.
- Merely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes.
- Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify.
- Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient.