KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 96%
Calidad del mercado
59 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
9,5 €
Liquidez
15,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
4.1% / 7.7%
Spread
3.6 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
18 dic 24, 15:00 UTC1 ene 30, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be a case of paralysis or death attributed to polio in the USA before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill there be at least one calendar year with no reported wild polio cases before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a case of polio in the USA this year?
KalshiWill Polio make a comeback in the US in 2026?
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KalshiMercados abiertos
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Volumen total
- 15,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 18 mil €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volumen total
- 920,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 4 mil €
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11.5%53%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,6 mil €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt98%
- Above 6000+2.0pt61%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 868,1 mil €
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Volumen total
- 612,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,2 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be a year without polio before 2030??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 96% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be a year without polio before 2030??
- Está previsto que Will there be a year without polio before 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there be a year without polio before 2030??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If there is any year between 2024 and 2029 in which there are zero reported wild cases of poliovirus 1, then the market resolves to Yes.