KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 88%
Calidad del mercado
54 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
74,1 €
Liquidez
4,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
7.0% / 12.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 minutos
25 mar 26, 14:00 UTC31 ene 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be a case of paralysis or death attributed to polio in the USA before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill Polio make a comeback in the US in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a year without polio before 2030?
KalshiWill there be at least one calendar year with no reported wild polio cases before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiWhen will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
KalshiReglas
If there are above 0 cases of polio in the United States in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volumen total
- 15,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 30,4 mil €
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volumen total
- 652,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,5 mil €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,9 mil €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt97%
- Above 600059%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 865,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,7 mil €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volumen total
- 915,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,4 mil €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volumen total
- 84 mil €
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Anitocabtagene Autoleucel (anito-cel) by Gilead Sciences (in 2026)
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 88% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year??
- Está previsto que Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year? se resuelva el 31 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there be a case of polio in the USA this year??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If there are above 0 cases of polio in the United States in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.