KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Above -0.62 98%+1.0ptLíder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado
69 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
8,5 mil €
Liquidez
13,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
14 sept 26, 19:00 UTC30 sept 26, 12:29 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August
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PolymarketReglas
If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending September 25, 2026 is above
Liquida mediante:Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
- -0.62, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (“NFCI”) refers to the headline NFCI published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- It does not refer to the Adjusted National Financial Conditions Index (“ANFCI”) or any individual component or contribution to the NFCI.
- This market will resolve using the NFCI value for the week ending September 25, 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago update that reports that week.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.
Mercados abiertos
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt54.5%
- No change-6.0pt43.6%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 935,7 mil €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-6.0pt43.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.4pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 resultados más
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt66%
- No change-1.0pt30.1%
- 25 bps decrease1.9%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)-2.0pt58.8%
- 3 (75 bps)+5.6pt23.5%
- 1 (25 bps)-2.0pt16.7%
+3 resultados más
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.2pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.8pt5%
- Exactly 5 cuts0%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 8,5 M €
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
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- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
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- Fed decision in October?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September?
- Kalshi cotiza Above -0.62 al 98% a fecha de 19 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September?
- Está previsto que Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September se resuelva el 30 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending September 25, 2026 is above