KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Above -0.40 98%Líder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado
58 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2,7 mil €
Liquidez
3,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
14 sept 26, 19:00 UTC21 sept 26, 12:24 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September
KalshiFed rate decision in October 2026
Robinhood (Rothera)Bank of Japan Decision in October?
PolymarketUS active housing listings in September
KalshiFed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
Robinhood (Rothera)Bank of Canada Decision in December?
PolymarketReglas
If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index reported for for August 2026 is above
Liquida mediante:Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago - CFNAI
- -0.40, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (“CFNAI”) refers to the headline monthly index published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- It does not refer to the CFNAI three-month moving average (“CFNAI-MA3”) or the CFNAI Diffusion Index.
- This market will resolve using the value for August 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago release that reports the August 2026 CFNAI.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.
Mercados abiertos
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt54.5%
- No change-6.0pt43.6%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 935,7 mil €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-6.0pt43.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.4pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 resultados más
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt66%
- No change-1.0pt30.1%
- 25 bps decrease1.9%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)-2.0pt58.8%
- 3 (75 bps)+5.6pt23.5%
- 1 (25 bps)-2.0pt16.7%
+3 resultados más
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.2pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.8pt5%
- Exactly 5 cuts0%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 8,5 M €
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September
- Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed decision in October?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August?
- Kalshi cotiza Above -0.40 al 98% a fecha de 19 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August?
- Está previsto que Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August se resuelva el 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Chicago Fed National Activity Index reported for for August 2026 is above