KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Alme, 5+ pts 82%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
28 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
608,3 €
Baja liquidezSpread
9.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
8 sept 26, 18:37 UTC3 nov 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Montana by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:the Montana Secretary of State
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Polymarket — Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory · Republican 6-9% 22%
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1117,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 resultados más
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 resultados más
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Montana Senate margin of victory?
- Kalshi cotiza Alme, 5+ pts al 82% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Montana Senate margin of victory?
- Está previsto que Montana Senate margin of victory se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Montana Senate margin of victory?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Montana by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Montana Senate margin of victory?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.