KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualRepublicans, 1+ pts 85%Líder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
56 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
345,1 €
Liquidez
6,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
38.0% / 41.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 26 minutos
28 abr 26, 1:033 nov 27, 15:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Republicans, 9+ pts38%
Tendencia de volumen
$3938 jul19d de datos28 jul
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Texas Senate margin of victory
2,9 mil €Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 36%KALSHI
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2 mil €Republicans, 33+ pts: 75%KALSHI
KALSHIMichigan's 3rd District margin of victory
1,4 mil €Democrats, 10+ pts: 77%KALSHI
KALSHIArkansas's 1st District margin of victory
1,4 mil €Republicans, 36+ pts: 72%KALSHI
KALSHIGeorgia Senate margin of victory
1,2 mil €Democrats, 10+ pts: 35%KALSHI
KALSHIKansas Senate margin of victory
1,2 mil €Republicans, 9+ pts: 40%KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
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If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S.
- Senate election in South Carolina by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.