KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
At least 5 95%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
58 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
374,1 €
Liquidez
5,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
1 sept 26, 18:00 UTC6 oct 26, 12:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiTarget Foot Traffic in September
KalshiStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
PolymarketReglas
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:IMF PortWatch
Mercados abiertos
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+18.3pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 25,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 719,6 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.5%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-2.0pt13.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Volumen total
- 6,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 97,8 mil €
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029-2.0pt69%
- Before Jul 1, 2028-1.0pt67%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt64%
+11 resultados más
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026)?
- Kalshi cotiza At least 5 al 95% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026)?
- Está previsto que Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026) se resuelva el 6 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026)?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.