KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosSin cotizaciones en vivo
Datos del 20 sept 2026, 21:22 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
Mike Johnson 9%Líder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
18,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
26 feb 26, 15:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 LA-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Republican Party of Louisiana
- **Important information:** Louisiana's 2026 U.S. House elections have reverted from closed party primaries to an open "jungle" primary system.
- Under this system, all candidates appear on a single ballot regardless of party, and the state-administered election does not produce a formal party nominee.
- A candidate's party affiliation on the ballot is an informational designation, not a nomination, and party endorsements do not constitute nominations for purposes of this event.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1117,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
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- Ron DeSantis3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 resultados más
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de LA-04 Republican nominee??
- Kalshi cotiza Mike Johnson al 9% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve LA-04 Republican nominee??
- Está previsto que LA-04 Republican nominee? se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida LA-04 Republican nominee??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 LA-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.