KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Troy Carter 12%+6.9pt
Calidad del mercado
46 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
312,7 €
Liquidez
7,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
7.7% / 15.0%
Spread
7.3 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
26 feb 26, 15:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
LA-01 Republican nominee?
KalshiLA-04 Republican nominee?
KalshiLA-05 Republican nominee?
KalshiArbitrage opportunity between Kalshi and Polymarket on Gavin Newsom as 2028 Democratic nominee disappears by:
Manifold Markets2028 Democratic nominee?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 LA-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Democratic Party of Louisiana
- **Important information:** Louisiana's 2026 U.S. House elections have reverted from closed party primaries to an open "jungle" primary system.
- Under this system, all candidates appear on a single ballot regardless of party, and the state-administered election does not produce a formal party nominee.
- A candidate's party affiliation on the ballot is an informational designation, not a nomination, and party endorsements do not constitute nominations for purposes of this event.
- If Louisiana law is amended to restore a formal nomination process for U.S. House races, or if the relevant state party formally designates a nominee for a given seat, the corresponding market will resolve accordingly.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1117,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 resultados más
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 resultados más
- What will Trump say this week?
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
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- Next French Presidential Election
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de LA-02 Democratic nominee??
- Kalshi cotiza Troy Carter al 12% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve LA-02 Democratic nominee??
- Está previsto que LA-02 Democratic nominee? se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida LA-02 Democratic nominee??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 LA-02 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.