JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElecciónIA11mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 92%
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17
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado14 abr 25, 18:51 UTC30 ago 27, 22:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will JD Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for President?
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Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurWill JD Vance win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExNH-01 Republican nominee?
KalshiReglas
Being very specific here.
- It's got to be both JD Vance as the nominee, and in his nomination speech he's also got to give a speech where the main topic of the speech is CLEARLY AI. i.e. not just mentioned, but mentioned FIRST if multiple issues are raised; and if multiple issues are mentioned, then impartial textual and emotional analysis should reveal that the major issue he's giving his position on is about AI.
- Deadline: whatever the normal (or rescheduled) republican party is (or the natural successor party, if there is one)
Mercados abiertos
Politics
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- J.D. Vance50%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 92% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention?
- Está previsto que JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention se resuelva el 30 de agosto de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Being very specific here.