Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 66.7%
Sí 66.7%Pronosticadores
128
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado16 feb 23, 23:55 UTC1 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?
Manifold MarketsThere will be an anti-AI super PAC that raises at least $20 million in 2026
Manifold MarketsJD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention
Manifold MarketsIf someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?
Manifold MarketsWho is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Background: https://twitter.com/Scholars_Stage/status/1626302227840225280?s=20
