If someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?
IAOne-Off
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 68.1%
Pronosticadores
99
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado19 abr 23, 19:38 UTC31 dic 98, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will AI xrisk seem to be handled seriously by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a sex scandal negatively affect the reputation of AI xrisk in the next five years?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves only if someone kills an AI researcher, AI company founder, or similar, in order to protest AI development, create fear to scare people away from AI development, or similar.
- Resolves YES if afterwards, AI xrisk people are generally considered dangerous and struggle to get their message out.
- Since this is kind of vague and vibes-based, I will not bet.
- I may choose to resolve this market based on a poll of AI alignment researchers after the fact.