KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Before Jan 1, 2027 21%+1.0pt
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
7,8 €
Liquidez
9,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
17.0% / 21.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
7 jul 26, 16:37 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Nigel FarageThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersReform UKCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader??
- Kalshi cotiza Before Jan 1, 2027 al 21% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader??
- Está previsto que Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.