KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosSin cotizaciones en vivo
Datos del 8 sept 2026, 18:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
Before Oct 1, 2026 1%
Calidad del mercado
23 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
380,3 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
- / 3.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
11 ago 26, 0:00 UTC1 oct 26, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
If the Senate Majority Leader has resigned or otherwise left their specified position the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSThe New York TimesAxiosCNNReutersThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- An announcement that the official will leave the office within the next year also resolves the market to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
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- Volumen total
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- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
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+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader??
- Kalshi cotiza Before Oct 1, 2026 al 1% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader??
- Está previsto que John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader? se resuelva el 1 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Senate Majority Leader has resigned or otherwise left their specified position the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.