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Datos del 26 oct 2026, 7:03 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
Before Jan 1, 2027 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
Before Jan 1, 2027 55%Líder entre 3 opciones
Before Jan 1, 2027 55%Calidad del mercado
24 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Interés abierto
0 US$
Interés abierto desconocidoCompra / Venta
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2027Spread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 minutos
22 oct 26, 23:45 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Before Jan 1, 2027
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Reglas
If Danielle Smith of the United Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:United Conservative PartyReutersthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsThe New York TimesPolitico
- The market resolves to Yes if the party leader resigns, is removed, or announces they will resign from party leadership. An announcement that the leader will leave within the next year counts even before it takes effect. This includes voluntary resignation, losing a leadership election, being ousted by the party, or any other mechanism that ends their party leadership. A leadership review or special general meeting vote does not by itself resolve the market; it counts only if the leader then resigns, is removed, or it is announced that they will leave. Temporarily stepping aside or taking leave while remaining leader does not qualify. The market is about party leadership positions, not government positions - a leader can resign from government while remaining party leader or vice versa.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Danielle Smith of the United Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Danielle Smith of the United Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Danielle Smith of the United Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
