KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 98%
Calidad del mercado
45 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
377,6 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
0.3% / 5.5%
Spread
5.2 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
3 dic 25, 23:30 UTC1 ene 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
US abolishes debt ceiling before 2029?
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Manifold MarketsFed Decision in September?
PolymarketReglas
If a bill becomes law that abolishes the debt ceiling (rather than just temporarily suspending or increasing it) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Library of Congress
Mercados abiertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52%
- No change-3.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 89,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,3 M €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 323,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 25,3 mil €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 523 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 22 mil €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes+1.0pt2%
- Volumen total
- 611,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,8 mil €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP86%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 10,5 mil €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+1.0pt6%
- Volumen total
- 2,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 7,7 mil €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
- Unemployment in September
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the debt ceiling be abolished??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 98% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the debt ceiling be abolished??
- Está previsto que Will the debt ceiling be abolished? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the debt ceiling be abolished??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If a bill becomes law that abolishes the debt ceiling (rather than just temporarily suspending or increasing it) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.