KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Alibaba 92%+3.0ptLíder entre 9 opciones
Calidad del mercado
55 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
11,1 mil €
Liquidez
14,8 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
31 ago 26, 14:0114 sept 26, 14:00
Tendencias
Reglas
If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Sep 14, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- Qualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Mercados abiertos
AI
POLYMARKETNext Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- September 30+7.5pt100%
- September 15+11.9pt100%
- September 9+18.4pt100%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 613,3 mil €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- October 31+4.3pt96%
- September 30-0.9pt84%
- September 2581%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETNext Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date?
- September 30-1.0pt96%
- October 31-1.4pt96%
- September 11+43.5pt91%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.1pt65.4%
- ChatGPT+2.8pt15.9%
- Grok-1.7pt9.3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 8,3 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt95%
- October 31,90%
- October 15,-2.0pt68%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+16.5pt76.8%
- Moonshot-9.8pt13.1%
- Z.ai-6.5pt6.1%
+8 resultados más
- Next Mythos-Class Model released on?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- When will OpenAI release Astra?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Yulia Putintseva vs Belinda Bencic
- Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released on?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th?
- Kalshi cotiza Alibaba al 92% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th?
- Está previsto que Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th se resuelva el 14 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Sep 14, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.