KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Cut 25bps 80.7%-2.0ptLíder entre 7 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
67 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
784,9 €
Liquidez
14,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
4 ago 26, 2:0016 sept 26, 21:29
Tendencias
Reglas
If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of the named outcome at the September Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Mercados abiertos
Central BanksKALSHINumber of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 5 cuts+30.0pt66%
- Exactly 4 cuts-19.0pt21.4%
- 7 or more cuts-12.0pt5.8%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 61,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 11,6 mil €
POLYMARKETBank of Korea decision in August?
- 25 bps hike-6.0pt70.3%
- No Change+7.5pt29.7%
- 50+ bps cut-0.5pt0%
+2 resultados más
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0+2.0pt63.4%
- H 25+1.0pt22.3%
- C 25+1.0pt8.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Productivity+5.0pt79%
- Independent / Independence70%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence-9.0pt70%
+17 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase85%
- No change-0.5pt14%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETBank of Brazil decision in September?
- 25 bps decrease+1.6pt90%
- No Change-2.0pt10%
- 50+ bps increase0%
+2 resultados más
- Bank of Japan rate decision in September
- ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- ECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Bank of England decision in September?
- Bank of Canada Decision in September?
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Bank of Korea rate decision in August
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in September?
- Kalshi cotiza Cut 25bps al 81% a fecha de 21 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in September?
- Está previsto que Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in September se resuelva el 16 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in September?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of the named outcome at the September Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.