Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
2.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffElecciónLatin America1a
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 76%+4.0ptLíder entre 8 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
7,3 mil €
Liquidez
38,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
25 mar 26, 14:00 UTC4 oct 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
PolymarketReglas
If the named outcome wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Futuur — Will Brazil’s presidential election be decided in the first round? · No 84%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner · Lula 77%
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Brazil 2026 Election: Will the presidential election be decided in first round? · No 94%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Brazil presidential election: first round winner??
- Kalshi cotiza Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva al 76% a fecha de 12 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Brazil presidential election: first round winner??
- Está previsto que Brazil presidential election: first round winner? se resuelva el 4 de octubre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Brazil presidential election: first round winner??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the named outcome wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Brazil presidential election: first round winner??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Futuur, Polymarket, Manifold Markets.