Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

2.0% (24h)One-OffPolítica Elección Latin America1a

KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximada

Probabilidad implícita actual

Flávio Bolsonaro 78%+2.0%

Líder entre 13 opciones

Calidad del mercado

60 / 100

Calidad media

Volumen 24h

17,6 €

Liquidez

6,3 mil €

Liquidez media

Compra / Venta

71.0% / 76.0%

Spread

7.0%

Spread moderado

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 15 minutos

23 abr 26, 4:004 oct 27, 14:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Aldo Rebelo

Ciro Gomes

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

Flávio Bolsonaro78%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

If Aldo Rebelo finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.

Tendencia de volumen

$20

2 jul22d de datos26 jul

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Above 195K: 79%

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Will Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?

0 €

Sí: 2.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Elected Governor of Ceará in 2026

0 €

Ciro Gomes: 59%

FUTUUR

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$64,503.97+0.70%

EthereumETH$1,885.50+1.51%

SolanaSOL$74.92+1.38%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0732+5.47%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.98%

BNBBNB$570.41+0.87%

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Reglas

If Aldo Rebelo finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

2.0% (24h)One-OffPolítica Elección Latin America1a

KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximada

Probabilidad implícita actual

Flávio Bolsonaro 78%+2.0%

Líder entre 13 opciones

Calidad del mercado

60 / 100

Calidad media

Volumen 24h

17,6 €

Liquidez

6,3 mil €

Liquidez media

Compra / Venta

71.0% / 76.0%

Spread

7.0%

Spread moderado

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 15 minutos

23 abr 26, 4:004 oct 27, 14:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Aldo Rebelo

Ciro Gomes

Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero

Resultado elegido

Flávio Bolsonaro78%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

If Aldo Rebelo finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.

Tendencia de volumen

$20

2 jul22d de datos26 jul

Mercados Relacionados

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by which date?

0 €

December 31: 17%

POLYMARKET

New Mexico Senate margin of victory

0 €

Democrats, 9+ pts: 84%

KALSHI

New Mexico Governor margin of victory

0 €

Democrats, 1+ pts: 0%

KALSHI

New Mexico 02 House General Election: voter turnout

0 €

Above 195K: 79%

KALSHI

Will Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?

0 €

Sí: 2.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Elected Governor of Ceará in 2026

0 €

Ciro Gomes: 59%

FUTUUR

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$64,503.97+0.70%

EthereumETH$1,885.50+1.51%

SolanaSOL$74.92+1.38%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0732+5.47%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.98%

BNBBNB$570.41+0.87%

Noticias Relacionadas

Polymarket Account in Farage Backer's Name Took $9M in Crypto From Unknown Sources: FTDecrypt

Polymarket odds lift Lula to 60.5% in Brazil race as Russia sanctions vote nearsBlockchain.News

Polymarket odds jump: US-Iran invasion risk hits 30.5% after tariff newsBlockchain.News

Polymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as voter-roll claims circulateBlockchain.News

Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News

Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News

Reglas

If Aldo Rebelo finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.