KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10% 54%Líder entre 11 opciones
Calidad del mercado
59 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
108,4 €
Liquidez
10,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
23 abr 26, 4:00 UTC4 oct 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
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KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
LimitlessBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
PolymarketReglas
If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Lula da Silva minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- If Lula da Silva wins, the margin will be positive; if Lula da Silva loses, the margin will be negative; if Lula da Silva ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Lula da Silva runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Polymarket — Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory · Lula da Silva <5% 41%
- También disponible en Limitless — Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory · Lula da Silva <5% 39%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory?
- Kalshi cotiza Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10% al 54% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory?
- Está previsto que Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory se resuelva el 4 de octubre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket, Limitless.