Probabilidad implícita actual
Mary Peltola 57%+4.0ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
68 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
896,9 €
Liquidez
61,2 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
41.0% / 44.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
31 ene 26, 4:303 nov 27, 15:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Dan Sullivan44%
Comparar plataformas· Mary Peltola
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general82% de coincidencia · verificado | Alta | 60% | 0pt | 1,5 mil € | 87 mil € | hace 13 minutos | Abrir → |
 KalshiEsta página | Media | 61% | +1pt | 896,9 € | 61,2 mil € | hace 13 minutos |
También disponible en Polymarket
Alaska Senate Election Winner
2.5 pts3m
+2.5pt59.4%
-2.5pt40.6%
0%
+26 resultados más
75 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total326,2 mil €
Volumen 24h1,5 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements.
- Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$1.0k2 jul26d de datos27 jul
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If Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements.
- Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified.