KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actualLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva 6%Líder entre 13 opciones
Calidad del mercado
28 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
1,7 €
Liquidez
18,2 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
1.0% / 11.0%
Spread
1000.0%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
23 abr 26, 4:004 oct 27, 14:00
Tendencias
Resultado elegido
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva6%
También disponible en Polymarket
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
2.4%3m
-0.5%50%
-4.0%14%
14%
+29 resultados más
64 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total278 mil €
Volumen 24h1,6 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If Aldo Rebelo finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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If Aldo Rebelo finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.