Probabilidad implícita actual
Lula da Silva <5% 34%-2.5%Líder entre 11 opciones
Calidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
257,1 €
Liquidez
100,5 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
9.7% / 11.9%
Spread
22.7%
Spread amplioCambio 7d
+5.3%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
11 feb 26, 22:514 oct 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Resultado elegido
Lula da Silva <5%34%
También disponible en Kalshi
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
6.0%1a
-6.0%15%
45%
0%
+8 resultados más
28 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total7,6 €
Volumen 24h0 €
KALSHIReglas
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.