KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Before Jan 1, 2027 14%Líder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
43 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
1,7 mil €
Liquidez
1 mil €
Baja liquidezSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
17 sept 26, 0:00 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
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PolymarketReglas
If federal legislation imposing an AI catastrophic-risk duty of care has become law after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A qualifying federal law must impose an enforceable standard requiring AI developers or deployers to take reasonable care, or equivalent precautions, to prevent or mitigate catastrophic harm from their models or systems.
- This means large-scale harm such as mass casualties, major disruption of critical infrastructure, or comparably severe economic or environmental damage; the law need not use the exact phrase "duty of care".
- Requiring a framework, audit, report, or shutdown control alone is insufficient.
- A framework qualifies only when the law makes the adequacy of the developer's precautions against catastrophic harm an enforceable obligation.
- Government enforcement or civil liability may enforce the duty.
Mercados abiertos
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+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 410,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 56,4 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.4pt70%
- ChatGPT-0.8pt15%
- Gemini+0.1pt7%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,7 M €
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- December 31,+4.0pt87%
- December 15,+1.0pt84%
- November 30,+6.0pt79%
+7 resultados más
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%91%
- Above 4.5%+19.0pt41%
- Above 5.6%+10.0pt20%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 58,4 mil €
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 22.7%99%
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- Above 23.6%-1.0pt95%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 70 mil €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will a catastrophic AI duty of care become U.S. law??
- Kalshi cotiza Before Jan 1, 2027 al 14% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will a catastrophic AI duty of care become U.S. law??
- Está previsto que When will a catastrophic AI duty of care become U.S. law? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will a catastrophic AI duty of care become U.S. law??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If federal legislation imposing an AI catastrophic-risk duty of care has become law after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.