Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 70%
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado8 jul 26, 20:01 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiWhich bills will become law in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
GAAIA is a bipartisan bill in Congress being proposed by Jay Obernolte (R-CA) and Lori Trahan (D-MA).
- Here is an article about the substance by Charlie Bullock: https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/congress-should-do-something--the-case-for-(fixing)-the-great-american-ai-act
- I can't really figure out what the status is.
- This market uses an expansive definition of "become law".
- It resolves YES if the bill is passed and becomes law in 2026, even if it is somewhat watered down or modified, as long as it remains an AI regulation and/or preemption bill.
- It also resolves YES if the bill's substantive provisions are fully folded into another bill which becomes law, though it resolves NO if only super dumb and toothless provisions make it in.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the Great American AI Act (GAAIA) become law in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 70% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the Great American AI Act (GAAIA) become law in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will the Great American AI Act (GAAIA) become law in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the Great American AI Act (GAAIA) become law in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: GAAIA is a bipartisan bill in Congress being proposed by Jay Obernolte (R-CA) and Lori Trahan (D-MA).