GeminiKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 13 sept 2026, 6:55 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
Before January 01, 2027 12.5%Líder entre 11 opciones
Calidad del mercado
55 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2,2 mil €
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoTraders
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
8 abr 26, 19:47 UTC2 ene 27, 4:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
KalshiWill traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before January 1, 2027?
ForecastExWhich month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ...
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before contract date, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Polymarket — Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal? · No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 80%