GeminiDatos verificados limitadosProbabilidad implícita actualBefore January 01, 2027 51%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
52 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2,1 mil €
Liquidez
0 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
50.0% / 52.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
8 abr 26, 19:472 ene 27, 4:00
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Before January 01, 202751%
Comparar plataformas· Before January 01, 2027
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general83% de coincidencia · auto | Alta | 44% | — | 1,6 mil € | 164,9 mil € | hace 17 minutos | Abrir → |
| GeminiEsta páginaMás activa | Media | 51% | — | 2,1 mil € | 0 € | hace 17 minutos |
También disponible en Polymarket
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
1.0 pts5m
-1.0pt43.6%
+4.0pt16.8%
+0.5pt12.9%
+4 resultados más
77 • Alta calidadSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total123,2 mil €
Volumen 24h1,6 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before contract date, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before contract date, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.